The mandates of the six experts who make up the Estonian Fiscal Council will end in the middle of May this year. The Supervisory Board of Eesti Pank this week approved the proposal of the Governor of the central bank that the same experts should remain in post for the next five years.
Although the targets in the budget strategy are in accordance with the State Budget Act, the Fiscal Council recommends that a target should be set for the structural fiscal position of a small surplus in each of the next four years.
Keeping the public finances in order means sticking to the fiscal rules
The State Budget Act requires the general government budget to be at least in structural balance and to take corrective steps if there are significant deviations from that target. The Fiscal Council finds that the general government structural budget position in 2014 was consistent with the legal framework as well as fiscal policy targets set for 2014.
The Fiscal Council finds that the goals set for the structural position of the general government in the state budget strategy and stability programme for 2016−2019 are in accordance with Estonian regulations and the principles of a sustainable fiscal policy.
The Fiscal Council is of the opinion that the spring forecast of the Ministry of Finance indicates a need to prepare a state budget strategy where the budget of the government sector for the coming year is at least in nominal balance.
Raul Eamets
Chairman of the Fiscal Council of Estonia
Calculations by the Fiscal Council show a serious risk that the structural budget position for 2014–2015 has been overestimated. For this reason the Fiscal Council recommends that the government draft its budget for 2015 so that the structural surplus in the general government budget is not less than the 0.8% of GDP noted in the summer forecast.
At the regular meeting of the Fiscal Council on 23 July, discussions were held on the achievement of the target for the general government structural budget position for last year.
The Supervisory Board of Eesti Pank approved the list of members proposed by the Governor of the central bank for the five-year term of the Fiscal Council, with Professor Raul Eamets, Programme Leader for Doctoral Studies of Economics at the University of Tartu as chair.
The Fiscal Council is an independent advisory body charged with assessing Estonian fiscal policy.